|
For example,
Bet 1 would be calculated:
1.53 x 1.57 x 2.20 x 2.25 x
2.87 = 34.12
In effect, the
34.12 from Bet 1 is the lowest total as you are
betting on 4/5
home wins
in this example. I like to play safe,
but you could include 2 or
3 away wins in the bet,
in which case the odds improve considerably.
Bet 8 offers
the best odds as it includes 3 draws, with odds calculated:
1.53 x 1.57 x 3.25 x 3.25 x 3.00 = 76.17
You need to do
this calc for each of the 8 bet columns as shown above.
Now you need
to decide what your total stake will be.
This can be any amount you want (within minimum stake
requirement of bookie)
but let’s say £30 total in this case. You want to spread this
£30 over the 8 bets
to ensure a good return whichever bet actually wins.
To do this,
you divide the total for each column (row 6 of above
table)
into 10 to come up with the decimal figures shown in row 7 below
and
added together to make 1.60
| |
Team |
Bet
1 |
Bet
2 |
Bet
3 |
Bet
4 |
Bet
5 |
Bet
6 |
Bet
7 |
Bet
8 |
Total |
| 1 |
Poland |
1.53 |
1.53 |
1.53 |
1.53 |
1.53 |
1.53 |
1.53 |
1.53 |
|
| 2 |
Tranmere |
1.57 |
1.57 |
1.57 |
1.57 |
1.57 |
1.57 |
1.57 |
1.57 |
|
| 3 |
Rep of
Ireland |
2.20 |
2.20 |
2.20 |
3.25 |
3.25 |
3.25 |
2.20 |
3.25 |
|
| 4 |
Port
Vale |
2.25 |
2.25 |
3.25 |
2.25 |
2.25 |
3.25 |
3.25 |
3.25 |
|
| 5 |
Greece |
2.87 |
3.00 |
2.87 |
2.87 |
3.00 |
2.87 |
3.00 |
3.00 |
|
| 6 |
Totals |
34.12 |
35.67 |
49.29 |
50.41 |
52.69 |
72.82 |
51.52 |
76.17 |
|
| 7 |
10
divided by total |
.29 |
.28 |
.20 |
.19 |
.19 |
.13 |
.19 |
.13 |
1.60 |
To arrive at
the figure you need to calculate your stake for each bet,
take the £30 total stake money and divide it by the 1.60
decimals total.
In our example, 30/1.60 = 18.75.
Finally, take
the 18.75 and multiply it by the decimal figure for each column
bet.
This gives you the exact amount to stake on each of the 8
bets
(l like to round up to nearest 50p, so total stake goes slightly
over £30, to £32 here).
This gives you
the total return for each bet. Take away your total stake
money
and you can see your winnings at a glance. Figures are as
follows in our example:-
| |
Team |
Bet
1 |
Bet
2 |
Bet
3 |
Bet
4 |
Bet
5 |
Bet
6 |
Bet
7 |
Bet
8 |
| 1 |
Poland |
1.53 |
1.53 |
1.53 |
1.53 |
1.53 |
1.53 |
1.53 |
1.53 |
| 2 |
Tranmere |
1.57 |
1.57 |
1.57 |
1.57 |
1.57 |
1.57 |
1.57 |
1.57 |
| 3 |
Rep of
Ireland |
2.20 |
2.20 |
2.20 |
3.25 |
3.25 |
3.25 |
2.20 |
3.25 |
| 4 |
Port
Vale |
2.25 |
2.25 |
3.25 |
2.25 |
2.25 |
3.25 |
3.25 |
3.25 |
| 5 |
Greece |
2.87 |
3.00 |
2.87 |
2.87 |
3.00 |
2.87 |
3.00 |
3.00 |
| 6 |
Totals |
34.12 |
35.67 |
49.29 |
50.41 |
52.69 |
72.82 |
51.52 |
76.17 |
| 7 |
10
divided by total |
.29 |
.28 |
.20 |
.19 |
.19 |
.13 |
.19 |
.13 |
| 8 |
£30
divided by 1.60 = 18.75 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 9 |
18.75 x
decimals
(row 7) = |
5.43 |
5.24 |
3.74 |
3.57 |
3.57 |
2.45 |
3.57 |
2.45 |
| 10 |
Rounded
up |
5.50 |
5.50 |
4.00 |
4.00 |
4.00 |
2.50 |
4.00 |
2.50 |
| 11 |
Return
(row 10 x row 6) |
187.66 |
196.18 |
197.16 |
201.64 |
210.76 |
182.05 |
206.08 |
190.42 |
| 12 |
Less
Stake |
-32.00 |
-32.00 |
-32.00 |
-32.00 |
-32.00 |
-32.00 |
-32.00 |
-32.00 |
| 13 |
Winnings |
155.66 |
164.18 |
165.16 |
169.64 |
178.76 |
150.05 |
174.08 |
158.42 |
In our example
Bet 2 was the winning line (1,1,1,2,X).
We would have cleared £164.18 for a £32.00 total stake.
You can give
yourself an even better edge if you make one, or even
both,
of your banker selections teams who are playing later in the
week than your
other 3 or 4 selections. If, for example, you achieve 4 correct
results from selections
playing on Saturday, and you have a 5th (banker) team
playing on, say, Sunday,
you can either pile on to increase your winnings or cover the
draw and or defeat
to protect your main bet.
This system is
not foolproof and l have screwed up with it more than
once.
You still have to pick the right teams not to lose and ensure
that your two bankers win.
But what it does offer is cover for all those 92nd minute goals
which turn a home banker
into a draw and ruin your well planned accumulator, plus a
reasonable return and flexible
staking to suit all betting banks. It’s also not as
complicated as it looks after you’ve done it once or twice.
I’m sure
some of you more experienced guys will be aware of
this system
and l can’t even claim it as my own as a friend explained it
to me a while back,
but l hope it will help one or two of us to cash in on our
football investing.
Bob C |
